This English text is a reference translation (machine-assisted). The Japanese version is the official text and prevails in case of any discrepancy.
Fragment Lantern Odds
Prices, odds, pity (guarantee) and estimated cost of the paid draw "Fragment Lantern". The figures are identical to the in-app Lantern screen and are generated automatically from the server's draw table.
Price
1 draw: 300 JPY, 10 draws: 3,000 JPY (tax included). A 10-draw is simply ten single draws; the unit price is the same (no discount or guaranteed slot).
How the draw works
- You choose a character (the "selected character") and each draw grants "fragments". Accumulating fragments raises that character's stage (the final stage is stage 10; 600 fragments in total are needed to reach it).
- In each draw, fragments go to the selected character with 50% probability, and to one of the "other characters you own" (chosen uniformly) with 50% probability. The per-character probability for other characters therefore depends on how many other characters you own (the 50% for the selected character never changes).
- Other characters that have already reached the final stage are still included. Fragments granted beyond the final stage become "surplus" (mementos are granted automatically at 20, 50, 100 surplus fragments; surplus cannot be exchanged for anything else).
- The draw is performed on the operator's server. The odds are the same whichever character you select.
Odds of the number of fragments per draw
| Fragments | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 68% |
| 5 | 24% |
| 10 | 6% |
| 100 | 2% |
The odds of the amount are the same whether the fragments go to the selected character or to another character.
Selectable characters
| Character | How owned | Product ID (1 / 10 draws) |
|---|---|---|
| ハル | Free (owned by everyone from the start) | lbdraw_hal_1 / lbdraw_hal_10 |
| カイ | Free (owned by everyone from the start) | lbdraw_kai_1 / lbdraw_kai_10 |
| ゴウ | Free (owned by everyone from the start) | lbdraw_gou_1 / lbdraw_gou_10 |
| ソラ | Free (owned by everyone from the start) | lbdraw_sora_1 / lbdraw_sora_10 |
| ミコト | Owned by purchase | lbdraw_mikoto_1 / lbdraw_mikoto_10 |
| アカリ | Owned by purchase | lbdraw_akari_1 / lbdraw_akari_10 |
| ハヤテ | Free (owned by everyone from Season 1) | lbdraw_hayate_1 / lbdraw_hayate_10 |
The number of "other characters you own" is determined by the free characters (owned by everyone) plus the characters you have purchased.
Odds tables (by number of characters owned)
When you own 3 other characters (4 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 11.33% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 0.33% | 16.67% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
When you own 4 other characters (5 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 8.50% | 3.00% | 0.75% | 0.25% | 12.50% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
When you own 5 other characters (6 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 6.80% | 2.40% | 0.60% | 0.20% | 10.00% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
Pity (guaranteed grant after a set number of draws)
- When you have made 330 paid draws with the same character selected, that draw also grants all remaining fragments needed to bring that character to the final stage.
- The count ("Lantern Proof") is kept per character. It cannot be combined or transferred between characters.
- Draws made with free 10-draw tickets do not count.
- If the character reaches the final stage first through play or through draws for other characters, the count remains unused (that character's Lantern closes).
Estimated cost
Estimates at 300 JPY per draw. We do not describe only the lucky side.
- Until one jackpot (100 fragments) for the selected character
- Average about 100 draws (about 30,000 JPY)
- Until one jackpot (100 fragments) for any character
- Average about 50 draws (about 15,000 JPY)
- Bringing one selected character from 0 to the final stage (stage 10, 600 fragments)
- Average about 238.7 draws (about 71,597 JPY)
Lucky 10%: 167 draws (50,100 JPY) / Median: 240 draws (72,000 JPY) / Unlucky 10%: 318 draws (95,400 JPY) / Maximum (pity): 330 draws (99,000 JPY). Share reaching the pity: about 6.9%.
"From 0 to the final stage" assumes you keep selecting that character and use no fragments obtained through play. In practice, fragments are also obtainable through play (dungeon clears, weekly quests, mastery, the free track of the season pass, etc.).
Draw table version and change date
- Current version: version 2 (from 2026-09-26)
- Announced: version 3 (from 2026-11-16, the start of Season 1)
From Season 1, the new free character "ハヤテ" is added to everyone's "other characters you own", so the per-character probability for other characters decreases. The 50% for the selected character, the amount odds and the pity count do not change. The switch date depends on the app's release date. We will announce it in the app and on this page at least 7 days in advance.
Show the version 3 odds tables (by number of characters owned)
When you own 4 other characters (5 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 8.50% | 3.00% | 0.75% | 0.25% | 12.50% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
When you own 5 other characters (6 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 6.80% | 2.40% | 0.60% | 0.20% | 10.00% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
When you own 6 other characters (7 characters in total, including the selected one).
| Recipient | 2 | 5 | 10 | 100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected character | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Other characters (total) | 34.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 50.00% |
| Each other character | 5.67% | 2.00% | 0.50% | 0.17% | 8.33% |
Expected fragments per draw: 5.16 overall, 2.58 to the selected character.
If we change the odds, pity or other contents of the draw, we will announce it in the app and on this page at least 7 days before the change. As a rule we do not make changes unfavorable to users (lowering the odds of high amounts, raising the pity count, or lowering the selected character's probability).
Other
- The draw is performed and the result granted immediately after payment is confirmed. Purchases cannot be cancelled or returned (Terms of Service, Articles 6 and 6-2).
- Fragments, mementos and tickets granted by the draw cannot be traded or transferred.
- You can review your own draw results for the last 90 days in the in-app "History".
- Users under 18 are subject to an age-based monthly purchase limit. Users under 13 may not use the service.
- The operator verifies that draws follow the displayed odds by aggregating actual outcomes.
This page is generated automatically from the game server's draw tables (table versions 2, 3).